A uniformly random reduced bumpless pipe dream of size 100, sampled via MCMC

Computation and sampling for Schubert specializations

[2026/03/20]

We present computational results related to principal specializations of the Schubert polynomials $\mathfrak{S}_w(1^n)$ for permutations $w\in S_n$. Equivalently, these specializations count reduced pipe dreams (and reduced bumpless pipe dreams - RBPD) with boundary conditions determined by $w$. We find the first counterexample, at $n=17$, to the conjecture of Merzon-Smirnov that the maximal value of $\mathfrak{S}_w(1^n)$ is obtained at a layered permutation. We explore the typical permutation obtained from uniformly random RBPDs, revealing a permuton-like asymptotic behavior similar to the one derived for Grothendieck polynomials.

We implement and compare three recurrence relations for computing $\mathfrak{S}_w(1^n)$: the descent formula of Macdonald, the transition formula of Lascoux-Schützenberger, and the cotransition formula of Knutson. We prove that the global constraint of reducedness breaks the sublattice property of the underlying alternating sign matrix (ASM) lattice, preventing standard monotone Coupling From The Past (CFTP). To bypass this, we develop a highly efficient MCMC sampler augmented with macroscopic “droop” updates to guarantee state space connectivity and accelerate mixing. Our implementations enable computation of $\mathfrak{S}_w(1^n)$ up to $n\sim 20$ on a personal computer, and uniform sampling of reduced bumpless pipe dreams up to $n\sim 100$ on a cluster.

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Integrable Probability arXiv Feed

Integrable Probability arXiv Feed

Integrable Probability arXiv Feed — a curated, searchable archive of arXiv papers in integrable probability, from the 1990s to the present, with related paper cross-references.

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Lozenge Merch

Get a lozenge design printed on anything! (Link to shop)

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Colored Interlacing Triangles and Genocchi Medians

[2026/02/04]

Colored interlacing triangles, introduced by Aggarwal-Borodin-Wheeler (2024), provide the combinatorial framework for the Central Limit Theorem for probability measures arising from the Lascoux-Leclerc-Thibon (LLT) polynomials. Colored interlacing triangles depend on two key parameters: the number of colors $n$ and the depth of the triangle $N$. Recent work of Gaetz-Gao (2025) connects these objects to Schubert calculus and resolves the enumeration for $n=3$ and arbitrary depth $N$. However, the enumerative behavior for general $n$ has remained open.

In this paper, we analyze the complementary regime: fixed depth $N=2$ and arbitrary number of colors $n$. We prove that in this setting, colored interlacing triangles are in bijection with Dumont derangements, identifying their enumeration with the Genocchi medians. This connects the probabilistic model to a rich hierarchy of classical combinatorial objects.

Furthermore, we introduce a $q$-deformation of this enumeration arising naturally from the LLT transition energy. This yields new $q$-analogs of the Genocchi medians. Finally, we present computational results and sampling algorithms for colored interlacing triangles with higher $N$ or $n$, which suggests the limits of combinatorial tractability in the $(N,n)$ parameter space.

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Building Truth from Scratch

EGMT 1520 • Building Truth from Scratch (Empirical & Scientific Engagement)

[Spring 2026 semester]

Blue Ridge Probability Day

Blue Ridge Probability Day, March 13, 2026 at University of Virginia.

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Building Truth from Scratch

EGMT 1520 • Building Truth from Scratch (Empirical & Scientific Engagement)

[Fall 2025 semester]